High Low Sports

The Colts fire sale has officially started. Quenton Nelson is headed to Seattle for a 3rd and a 5th-round pick, DeForest Buckner is back in San Francisco for a 4th, and the NFL trade deadline is still two weeks away. Who's next: Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs or Grover Stewart?
DJ and Kelcey grade both trades (spoiler: the Seahawks and 49ers fleeced Indy), map out where Jonathan Taylor lands, name the other teams who should join the sell-off, then run Contenders or Pretenders on the Cowboys, Bengals, Falcons, Browns, Vikings and Lions. Plus the Heisman hierarchy, NFL MVP ladder and this week's NFL and college football picks.
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❓ QUICK ANSWERS
What did the Colts get for Quenton Nelson?A 3rd-round pick and a 2028 5th-round pick from the Seattle Seahawks. DJ and Kelcey call it the worst return of the deadline, pointing to rumors the Commanders offered more.
What did the Colts get for DeForest Buckner?A 4th-round pick from the San Francisco 49ers, reuniting Buckner with the team that drafted him.
Who could the Colts trade next?Jonathan Taylor (Vikings and Bengals are the top fits discussed), Josh Downs (Chiefs, 49ers, Rams) and Grover Stewart (Bills, Bears).
Which other NFL teams could sell before the deadline?The Titans (Tony Pollard, Jeffery Simmons), Eagles, Chargers (Khalil Mack) and Raiders (Maxx Crosby).
Are the Cowboys contenders or pretenders?Contenders in the NFC East, pretenders for the Super Bowl.
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🏈 THIS WEEK'S PICKSKelcey's Island upset pick: USC moneyline (+200) vs. Ohio StateCrunch Time player prop: Bhayshul Tuten OVER 62.5 rushing yards vs. the Colts
Picks and analysis are opinion and for entertainment only. Lines move, check your book before kickoff.
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⏱️ CHAPTERS0:00 Intro1:50 Colts fire sale: Quenton Nelson to Seahawks, DeForest Buckner to 49ers4:33 Trade grades: Did the Colts get fleeced?8:49 Jonathan Taylor trade: Vikings, Bengals or Eagles?10:00 Josh Downs and Grover Stewart trade destinations14:34 Daniel Jones vs. Anthony Richardson: Bench him now?21:59 Who sells next? Titans, Eagles, Chargers, Raiders27:36 Contenders or Pretenders: Dallas Cowboys30:26 Contenders or Pretenders: Cincinnati Bengals33:04 Contenders or Pretenders: Atlanta Falcons38:57 Contenders or Pretenders: Cleveland Browns42:40 Contenders or Pretenders: Vikings vs. Lions45:56 Better Than the Rest MVP: Easton Messer and Ernie Johnson48:22 Heisman hierarchy: Jeremiah Smith, Darian Mensah, Malachi Toney, Jesse Legree53:29 NFL MVP ladder: Brock Purdy, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Kenneth Walker58:15 Crunch Time: NFL and college football picks59:37 Upset pick: USC vs. Ohio State1:02:19 Player prop: Bhayshul Tuten rushing yards vs. Colts
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💬 DROP IT IN THE COMMENTSShould the Colts sell everything? Who goes next, Jonathan Taylor or Josh Downs? Which team on our list is a pretender?
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Chris Ballard is out in Indianapolis. The Colts blew a 17-point lead to the winless Titans and now the GM who spent nearly a decade building this roster is gone.
DJ and Kelcey go through the full post-mortem: every draft class, every missed pick, the Josh McDaniels hire, the quarterback carousel, the DeForest Buckner trade and what the Colts should do now to actually fix this thing.
Then the conversation you won't hear anywhere else: Jalen Hurts was cleared by the Eagles to play with a blood clot in his leg, flew eight hours across the Atlantic, and the clot moved to his lungs. He's on IR with deep vein thrombosis. The NFL found no violation. The NFLPA is investigating. Kelcey has personal experience with blood clots and blood thinners — his take cuts through all of it.
Plus: Auburn beats No. 1 Georgia 27-24. The Heisman race. The NFL MVP ladder. And this week's college football picks.
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🏈 THIS WEEK'S PICKS
Tennessee moneyline +114 vs. South CarolinaBryce Young over 253.5 passing yards vs. Tampa Bay
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🏆 HEISMAN HIERARCHY
1. Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State2. Darian Mensah, QB, Miami3. Jesse LeGree, Oregon State (rising)4. Drew Mestemaker, Oklahoma State (rising)
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🏆 NFL MVP LADDER
1. Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers2. Kenneth Walker III, RB, Seattle Seahawks3. Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars
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🎙️ High Low Sports is part of the Belly Up Sports network. New episode every week of the NFL season.
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🏈 NFL COACHING DISASTERS, MHJ TO HOUSTON & BROCK PURDY FOR MVP | Eagles Collapse, Commanders Clock Fail, Rams Special Teams | High Low Sports Week 6
The Eagles blew a late lead to Jacksonville because Nick Sirianni couldn't manage a clock. The Commanders had the ball inside the 25 with 48 seconds left and no timeouts and somehow didn't spike it. Sean McVay fired his kicker after a blocked kick and then wondered why his special teams keep failing. DJ and Kelcey break down the worst coaching decisions of Week 5, where Brock Purdy stands in the MVP race, what the Marvin Harrison Jr. trade to Houston actually means, their college football picks and the Heisman hierarchy.
Plus: Drake London over 89.5 receiving yards vs. Chicago, Kentucky +6.5 at Oklahoma, Notre Dame covering -10.5 over BYU, and DJ's full NFL picks for the weekend.
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━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━⏱️ TIMESTAMPS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━0:00 — Intro | Week 5 Coaching Disasters Overview— Eagles vs. Jaguars | Sirianni's Clock Management Disaster— Commanders vs. Giants | Jayden Daniels Tackled With 9 Seconds Left— Sean McVay | Kicker Firing and Special Teams Neglect— Marvin Harrison Jr. Trade | Arizona's Failures and the Houston Fit— NFL MVP Ladder | Brock Purdy Takes the Top Spot— Heisman Hierarchy | Jeremiah Smith #1, Mensah #2, CJ Carr #3— College Football Picks | Indiana-Ohio State, Notre Dame-BYU, Alabama-Tennessee— NFL Picks Week 6 | Drake London, Kentucky +6.5, Weekend Best Bets
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🚨 COACHING DISASTERS BREAKDOWN━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🦅 Eagles vs. Jaguars — Nick Sirianni kicked deep when he should have pinned Jacksonville inside the 20. Jalen Hurts threw incomplete passes in field goal range when they should have run it twice and kicked. Clock management was inexcusable for a team with Super Bowl expectations.🏛️ Commanders vs. Giants — Washington had first-and-goal inside the 25 with 48 seconds and no timeouts. Jayden Daniels was tackled instead of spiked. Nobody on the sideline managed the situation. A winnable game evaporated.🐏 Rams vs. (opponent) — McVay fired his kicker after a blocked kick. The kicker didn't block the kick. McVay's stars-and-scrubs roster philosophy means special teams always get the leftovers, and now he's blaming the specialist for it.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🏆 NFL MVP LADDER — WEEK 6━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━1. Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers — hasn't been sacked once this season2. Jared Goff, QB, Detroit Lions3. Kenneth Walker / Jahmyr GibbsMVP Dark Horse: The Texans mascot Toro (per DJ's "Better Than the Rest" award 🏆)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🎓 HEISMAN HIERARCHY — WEEK 6━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━1. Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State2. Darian Mensah, QB, Tulane3. CJ Carr, QB4. Keelan Russell
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🏈 NFL PICKS & COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 6━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📊 Drake London over 89.5 receiving yards vs. Chicago Bears📊 Kentucky +6.5 at Oklahoma📊 Notre Dame -10.5 vs. BYU (Notre Dame to cover)📊 Alabama over Tennessee
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🎙️ ABOUT HIGH LOW SPORTS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━DJ and Kelcey break down the NFL, college football and everything in between every week. No fluff. Hot takes, real analysis, picks and the occasional coaching disaster post-mortem.
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Was Sirianni's clock management the worst you've seen this season? Drop it below 👇

he Eagles just lost Lane Johnson to retirement and Cam Jurgens to a trade in the same week. Saquon's hamstring, DeVonta Smith out, and Jacksonville is next in London. DJ puts them at a 10 out of 10 on the panic meter. Kelcey agrees. Meanwhile Lamar Jackson's ankle is "neither high nor low" and the Texans are 0-8 since their mascot ripped a Terrible Towel. Kenneth Walker has won 14 straight NFL games. Jeremiah Smith has 823 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns in 5 college football games. And Brock Purdy has not been sacked once this entire season. All of this, and Kelcey's Island pick on Florida State, powered by Outlier. 🏆 TrophySmack — trophies, belts, rings, and losing singlets. Bragging rights in physical form. 👉 https://www.trophysmack.com/?sca_ref=2706815.RGPa8UtYlW 📊 BetterVision — sync all your fantasy and betting accounts in one place. Free to download. 👉 https://www.bettorvision.us 🎯 Outlier — smarter sports picks research. Free 30-day trial. 👉 https://start.outlier.bet/bellyup2026 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⏱️ TIMESTAMPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 0:00 — Eagles Panic Meter | Lane Johnson, Cam Jurgens, Saquon & London Trip — 10/10 12:00 — Ravens Panic Meter | Lamar's Schrödinger's Ankle — 3.5/10 17:02 — Texans Panic Meter | The Torrible Towel Curse — 6/10 vs 8/10 22:15 — Saints Panic Meter | Shuck Banged Up, Low Expectations — 7/10 vs 3-4/10 26:23 — Bengals Panic Meter | Inconsistent Defense, Get-Right Game — 4/10 31:10 — Marvin Harrison Jr. Panic Meter | Trade Him Now — 9/10 37:08 — Red River Rivalry | Texas -7.5 vs Oklahoma Preview 41:02 — Georgia vs. Alabama | 77% of Bets on Georgia, Line Moved to Alabama -1.5 45:07 — Better Than the Rest MVPs | Tet McMillan 14-192-2 & Guardian Caps 50:52 — Kelcey's Heisman Hierarchy | Jeremiah Smith Historic Pace 55:28 — NFL MVP Ladder | Kenneth Walker 14-Game Win Streak, Purdy Unsacked, Bijan Rising 1:02:10 — DJ Moore Ghost Pepper Tracker | 178 of 826 Yards, On Pace 1:05:15 — Kelcey's Island | Florida State +155 vs Louisville | Tyler Warren Under 19.5 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚨 NFL PANIC METER RATINGS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔴 Philadelphia Eagles — 10/10. Lane Johnson retired. Cam Jurgens traded. Saquon's hamstring. DeVonta Smith out. Playing Jacksonville in London. Nick Sirianni is not the answer. The big lady is warming up her vocal cords. 🟡 Baltimore Ravens — 3.5/10 (DJ) / 4/10 (Kelcey). Lamar's ankle injury is nagging. He is 3-0 when Derrick Henry gets 20+ carries. 0-1 when he doesn't. Give him the ball. If he misses the Browns game, the panic jumps. 🟠 Houston Texans — 6/10 (DJ) / 8/10 (Kelcey). CJ Stroud is top 5 in QB play this season. The defense has failed everyone else. 0-8 since Toro ripped a Terrible Towel. The curse is real. 🟢 New Orleans Saints — 7/10 (DJ) / 3-4/10 (Kelcey). Fun to watch. Shuck is banged up. Different division, different number. 🟤 Cincinnati Bengals — 4/10. Get-right game vs. Miami. Too many weapons to count out. 🔴 Marvin Harrison Jr. — 9/10. 8 catches, 85 yards, 1 TD all season. 7.7% target share since entering the league. Trade him. His time in Arizona is done. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎓 KELCEY'S HEISMAN HIERARCHY — WEEK 6 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1. Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State — 823 yards, 9 TDs, 44 catches in 5 games. 423 yards and 6 TDs in his last 2. Pace: 1,900 yards, 21 TDs on the season. Nobody has ever done this. 2. Darian Mensah, QB, Miami — 84.2% completion rate. 1,438 yards, 15 TDs, 0 INTs. Miami still unbeaten. 3. Keelan Russell, QB, Alabama — 1,400 yards, 11 TDs, 2 INTs, 4 rushing TDs. Big game vs. Georgia this week. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏆 NFL MVP LADDER — WEEK 4 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1. Kenneth Walker — 87 carries, 537 yards, 4 rushing TDs. 14-game NFL win streak. The best running back Andy Reid has ever had. 2. Brock Purdy — 1,000 passing yards, 11 TDs, 1 INT, 70% completion. Has not been sacked once this season. Leads NFL in passer rating all-time. 3. Bijan Robinson — Back-to-back primetime games, 320 rushing yards and 4 TDs. On the shortlist for best player in football regardless of position. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 CRUNCH TIME — POWERED BY OUTLIER ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏝️ KELCEY'S ISLAND: Florida State +155 vs. Louisville — Louisville missing 6 key players. FSU averages 26 points. Take the moneyline. 🔒 DJ'S PROP: Tyler Warren under 19.5 longest reception — 0 for 11 on the season clearing that line. His longest catch is 15 yards. Daniel Jones won't send him downfield. Playing Pittsburgh, who they haven't beaten since 2008. Lock. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📲 FIND US EVERYWHERE ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎙️ https://bellyupsports.com/high-low-sports-podcast 🏆 https://www.trophysmack.com/?sca_ref=2706815.RGPa8UtYlW 🎯 https://start.outlier.bet/bellyup2026 📸 @highlowsports | 🐦 @HighLowSports Which team should panic the most this week? Drop your number below 👇 ⚠️ All picks for entertainment only. Must be 21+. Bet responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER.

🏈 NFL WEEK 3 BIGGEST WINNERS & LOSERS + ARE THE FLORIDA GATORS LEGIT? + NFL MVP LADDER + HEISMAN HIERARCHY | Raiders, Chargers, Brock Purdy, Kenneth Walker, Jeremiah Smith | High Low Sports
The Raiders are 3-0, won all three games as underdogs, and Brock Bowers is back. The Chargers are 0-3 and DJ has officially run out of insults. Deebo Samuel set the craziest stat line in NFL history — 80 receiving yards without a single catch. And the Florida Gators just beat a top-5 team in their second year under a coach who hasn't even completed a full calendar year in the job. DJ and Kelcey break it all down — NFL Week 3 winners and losers, the updated Heisman Hierarchy, the NFL MVP ladder, Better Than the Rest MVPs, and this week's picks powered by Outlier.
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━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━⏱️ TIMESTAMPS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━0:00 — NFL Week 3 Winners | Raiders 3-0, Drake London & the Atlanta Falcons Faithful5:50 — Deebo Samuel's Historic Stat Line | 80 Yards Without a Reception7:05 — NFL Week 3 Losers | Chargers 0-3, Bucs in the Gutter13:50 — Are the Florida Gators Legit? | Jayden Baugh, John Sumrall & the SEC Threat21:08 — Oregon vs. USC | Dante Moore Injury, Dylan Raiola & the Late Hit Debate28:38 — Kelcey's Heisman Hierarchy | Jeremiah Smith No. 1, Mensah No. 2, Taylor No. 3, Baugh No. 437:40 — Better Than the Rest MVPs | World Record Swimmer & Colin Simmons' 5.5 Sacks45:47 — NFL MVP Ladder | Kenneth Walker No. 1, Brock Purdy No. 2, JSN No. 349:49 — Crunch Time | DJ Moore Tracker + Kelcey's Island: Vanderbilt +23.5 at Georgia + Bryce Young Prop
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🏆 NFL WEEK 3 WINNERS & LOSERS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━✅ LAS VEGAS RAIDERS — 3-0 without Brock Bowers for 2 games. Forced 4 fourth-quarter turnovers against the Saints. Cody Taylor: 28 yards, 3 TDs in 2 games. Kelcey's pick.✅ ATLANTA FALCONS — Drake London, Bijan Robinson, Michael Penix. As soon as they had a quarterback above 4th grade B-team level, suddenly they're a force. DJ's pick.✅ DEEBO SAMUEL — 80 receiving yards against the Cardinals. Never caught a pass. Hook-and-ladder from Mike Evans. New NFL record.❌ LA CHARGERS — 0-3. Lost to Bills, Raiders, and Cardinals. Kelcey has officially run out of ways to insult them. "It's incinerator doggy doo-doo."❌ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS — Baker Mayfield dislocated his thumb. Todd Bowles allegedly laughed about it. Vita Vea wanted out. 0-3 in the division. DJ's pick.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🐊 ARE THE FLORIDA GATORS LEGIT?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━Florida's scores this season: 66, 52, 44, and 52. They just beat a top-5 Ole Miss team 52-28 after Ole Miss came off the emotional high of beating LSU. Jayden Baugh: 150 yards, 3 TDs, 34 missed tackles forced — which would rank 3rd in the entire SEC by himself. John Sumrall is not even one full calendar year into the job and has built what Kelcey calls "the most put-together version of a Florida Gators team I've ever seen." Next up: Missouri, Texas at No. 1, Georgia at No. 2.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🎓 KELCEY'S HEISMAN HIERARCHY — WEEK 4━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━1. Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State — 617 yards, 33 receptions, 7 TDs, 18.7 YPC. Got a defensive coordinator fired after 4 games.2. Darian Mensah, QB, Miami — 88.7% completion rate. 94-of-106. 14 TDs, 0 INTs. No major wins yet. Notre Dame is coming.3. Kamario Taylor, QB, Mississippi State — 2 statement wins, 69.2% completion, 14 TDs. Best roster is 12th in the SEC.4. Jayden Baugh, RB, Florida — 83 rushes, 600 yards, 11 TDs, 0 fumbles, 7.2 YPC. Earns his spot after the Ole Miss game.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🏆 NFL MVP LADDER — THROUGH WEEK 3━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━1. Kenneth Walker — Leads NFL in rushing yards, attempts, and total yards. 5.5 YPC. The engine of the undefeated Chiefs.2. Brock Purdy — 789 passing yards, 9 TDs, 1 INT all season. 91% completion vs. Miami. Statistical QB1.3. JSN — 405 receiving yards, 6 TDs through 3 weeks. Lowest output this season was 122 yards. Leading the NFL in receiving yards.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💰 CRUNCH TIME — POWERED BY OUTLIER━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🏝️ KELCEY'S ISLAND: Vanderbilt +23.5 at Georgia (+105) — Vanderbilt 100% ATS in their last 16 games dating back to 2025. Their only miss was Alabama on the road at -14.5.🔒 DJ'S PROP LOCK: Bryce Young completion % over 60.6 (PrizePicks only) — 7-of-10 in his last stretch. 6 straight games over against bottom-10 defenses for completion. Detroit's secondary is decimated.📊 DJ Moore tracker: 29 yards needed in Week 4 to stay on pace for the 825.5 over. Ghost pepper still very much on the table.
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Who's your NFL MVP through 3 weeks? And are the Gators for real? Drop it below 👇
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🏈 ARE THE CHIEFS BACK? NFL OVER/UNDER REACTIONS, HEISMAN HIERARCHY & LOCKS OF THE WEEK | Kenneth Walker, JSN, Bryce Young, Trinidad Chambliss | High Low Sports
Kenneth Walker III leads the NFL in rushing yards. Jackson Smith-Njigba leads the NFL in receiving yards with 277 through 2 weeks. Bryce Young is 2nd in the NFL in passing yards and tied for 1st in touchdowns. DJ and Kelcey break down the biggest over/under reactions from the NFL's first two weeks, update the Heisman Hierarchy, hand out Better Than the Rest MVPs, and lock in Kelcey's Island pick and a prop lock of the week.
All powered by Outlier — the No. 1 rated sports betting research and analytics app.
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━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━⏱️ TIMESTAMPS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━0:00 — Chargers Over/Under | 0-2, Brutal Schedule & the Fat Lady Warming Up7:10 — Are the Chiefs Back? | Kenneth Walker, Mahomes, Kelce's YAC & Receiver Concerns15:42 — 49ers 2-0 & Bryce Young's Arrival | Did We Both Miss These?31:39 — College Football Slate | Ole Miss-Florida, Oregon-USC & SEC Chaos36:22 — Better Than the Rest MVPs | Trinidad Chambliss & Sean Sharaf41:20 — Kelcey's Heisman Hierarchy | Chambliss No. 1, Mensah No. 2, Taylor No. 346:12 — NFL MVP Ladder | JSN, Kenneth Walker & Josh Allen Lead the Way54:04 — Crunch Time | Kelcey's Island: Purdue +27.5 vs. Notre Dame | Prop Lock: David Montgomery
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🏈 OVER/UNDER REACTIONS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🔵 CHARGERS COOKED? Only 10 teams have made the playoffs going 0-2 since 1990. Their next 7 games: Bills, Seahawks, Chiefs, Rams, Texans, Ravens. "I think this could realistically be an 0-17 team." The fat lady is warming up her vocal cords.
🔴 CHIEFS BACK? They never left. Kenneth Walker — not a Walker, a Runner — leads the NFL in rushing. Mahomes cleared 400 yards. Kelce's YAC looks like 2021. The only concern is a receiver room with no reliable pass catcher outside of Kelce.
🟡 49ERS 2-0 — Rams game has a Melbourne jet lag asterisk. Deebo Samuel back makes the offense elite. Fred Warner healthy makes the defense elite. Brock Purdy is playing beyond a game manager and the advanced stats confirm it. The question is always the same: can they stay healthy?
🟢 BRYCE YOUNG ARRIVED — 2nd in the NFL in passing yards. Tied for 1st in touchdowns. 10.5 average depth of target. 88% completion rate against zone coverage. The Panthers built tall receivers around a short quarterback and it's working. "I think today's price won't be tomorrow's price."
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🎓 KELCEY'S HEISMAN HIERARCHY — WEEK 3━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━1. Trinidad Chambliss, QB, Ole Miss — 360 yards, 2 TDs, rushing TD, 89 QBR vs. LSU in the most hyped game of the year. Carried himself above the Lane Kiffin chaos. Top to bottom an MVP performance.2. Darian Mensah, QB, Miami — 24-for-24 against Wake Forest. The commentator curse stopped him at 26-for-26. Best performances coming against real defenses.3. Kamario Taylor, QB, Mississippi State — Upset over Texas A&M. Already on NFL scouts' radar. May not stay past this season.HM: Malachi Tony, WR, Miami — 12 catches, 114 yards, 1 TD before removal. Still the best receiver in college football.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🏆 NFL MVP LADDER — WEEK 2━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━JSN — 277 receiving yards, 4 TDs, 22 targets, 17 receptions. Did this with Drew Lock at QB. Still a best route runner in football conversation.Kenneth Walker — Leads NFL in rushing yards and total scrimmage yards. 6.2 YPC on 47 attempts.Josh Allen — 9 total TDs, 0 turnovers. Only 2018 Mahomes and 2013 Peyton matched that start. He owns September.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💰 CRUNCH TIME — POWERED BY OUTLIER━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🏝️ KELCEY'S ISLAND: Purdue +27.5 vs. Notre Dame (+105) — Covered 8 of last 10 at home including spreads of +28.5 and +26.5 vs. better teams. Notre Dame covers 30% at this number. Breaking a 6-year personal rule — but the data says to.🔒 DJ'S PROP LOCK: David Montgomery over 8.5 first-quarter rushing yards (-105) — Colts have allowed 1,000 total yards in 2 weeks. Montgomery torched Buffalo in the first quarter. Colts gave up 23 carries in Week 2 alone.
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Are the Chiefs back? Are the Chargers done? Drop your take below 👇
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Week 1 of the NFL season produced the highest-scoring opening weekend in league history. DJ and Kelcey survived it — barely — and are back to make sense of everything.
This week on the High Low Sports Podcast: the biggest overreactions from NFL Week 1, a full college football chaos recap headlined by Texas defeating Ohio State and the simultaneous implosions of Oregon and Oklahoma, the inaugural edition of Kelcey's Heisman Hierarchy, two Better Than the Rest MVPs, an upset pick powered by Outlier, and the top prop of the weekend.
On the overreaction front, DJ goes all in on the theme of the weekend: offense is back. The NFL just posted its most explosive opening week in history. The Bears and Panthers combined for 91 points — Ben Johnson almost went for two to push it to 60. Kenneth Walker ran 173 yards on a Monday night and won fantasy leagues for people who were already asleep. Kelcey's overreaction: the New York Giants are legitimate. The trio of Nabers, Dart, and Scadaboo ran the ball directly down the Cowboys' throats all game. Isaiah Likely scored twice in his debut. Matt Nagy, Greg Roman, and Brian Callahan — three offensive minds who have each been fired from previous posts — somehow combined to produce one of the cleanest game plans of the week.
In college football, Texas took down Ohio State in one of the great fourth-quarter comebacks of the young season, with Arch Manning leading the final drive. Oklahoma got humiliated at Michigan. Oregon looked unrecognizable. All three had been top-11 teams in the AP Poll. Now only Ohio State remains ranked, sitting at sixth after a five-spot drop.
Kelcey's inaugural Heisman Hierarchy puts Darian Mensah of Miami at No. 1, Malachi Tony at No. 2, Arch Manning at No. 3 for that fourth-quarter performance alone, and Jeremiah Smith at No. 4 after a 9-138-2 showing despite two drops. Devin Dampier of Utah gets an honorable mention — worth watching as the season develops.
For MVPs of the week, Kelcey goes Kenneth Walker on 23 carries for 173 yards and two scores. DJ gives the award to Bears right tackle Darnell Wright — who anchored a running game that averaged eight yards per carry to his side 65 percent of the time and never allowed a sack.
The upset pick: Troy Trojans +26.5 at Missouri at plus odds. Five-and-one ATS in their last six road games. Nine of ten against the spread overall. Big spread, underdog, plus odds — the exact situation Outlier surfaces.
The top prop: Kenneth Walker over 79.5 rushing yards. He just gave you 173 against Denver. The Colts allowed nearly 200 rushing yards to the Ravens and are playing on their own turf in Indianapolis. DJ is putting multiple units on this one.
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The August NFL preview series is over. DJ and Kelcey picked every game in every division — all 272 of them — and now the picks come due.
The final episode of the High Low Sports Podcast's 2026 preview series covers everything: full playoff brackets, Super Bowl predictions built on 20 years of NFL historical patterns, two season-long prop bets powered by Outlier, and every major award handed out before kickoff.
DJ has the Chicago Bears winning the Super Bowl. His reasoning pulls from George Lucas — history is like poetry in that it rhymes — and maps a 20-year cycle: 2004 Patriots, 2024 Eagles; 2005 Steelers with a young second-year QB, 2025 Seahawks beating a young second-year QB; 2006 Peyton Manning finally breaking through against the Bears. 2026: Josh Allen finally breaks through and falls to the Chicago Bears. Caleb Williams wins a championship at SoFi Stadium, the building where he won the Heisman.
Kelcey takes the Rams over the Bengals in a rematch of Super Bowl LVI. Aaron Donald is back in better shape than when he retired. Myles Garrett plays alongside him. Kyren Williams is about to have the breakout season of the decade. The Rams know the Bengals. They know the path to victory. Sun Tzu said so.
On the best bets side, both hosts are backed by Outlier research. Kelcey hammers Justin Herbert's passing yards — a line that has already moved up from 3,450 since the AFC West video — because Herbert just set the record for the longest in-air throw by any Mike McDaniel quarterback in a preseason game. DJ goes all-in on DJ Moore's receiving yards over 825.5, backing it with career YAC data, the Bills' scheme, Josh Allen's arm, and one ghost pepper he will eat live on air if the pick misses.
Awards: Kelcey gives MVP to Drake Maye, Defensive Player of the Year to Myles Garrett, Offensive Player of the Year to Kyren Williams and Coach of the Year to Liam Cohen. DJ gives MVP to Justin Herbert, Defensive Player of the Year to Will Anderson, Offensive Player of the Year to Amon-Ra St. Brown and Coach of the Year to Kliff Kingsbury. They agree on almost nothing, which is exactly how it should end.
The NFL season starts tonight. On a Wednesday. DJ is still complaining about it.
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Every time Joe Burrow misses 10 games or more in a season, he plays 16 or more the following year. Last year he played 9. You do the math.
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DJ and Kelcey wrap their division preview series with the AFC North— the final one before the Super Bowl picks drop — with eight prop bets powered by Outlier and two full sets of standings that land in very different places. DJ has the Bengals at 11-6 and the Browns at 2-15 with the first overall pick. Kelcey has the Bengals at 13-4 and the Browns at 4-13. The Bengals winning the division is the one thing they agree on without hesitation.
The Browns segment is equal parts honest and depressing. Five new offensive linemen, a genuinely promising young roster, and the one quarterback nobody wanted to start. DJ's bold prediction: at minimum three different starting quarterbacks in 2026. Possibly all four. Todd Monken looks like a lame duck head coach. The bar is the ground. The good news is the bar can't go lower than the ground.
The Bengals have the best receiver room in football when healthy — Ja'Marr Chase back from a hyperextended knee that reports say is fine, Tee Higgins healthy, Chase Brown as a multi-dimensional Alvin Kamara type, and a DoorDash driver from Atlanta who Joe Burrow called up, had him drive overnight from Atlanta to Cincinnati, and is now on the 53-man roster. That story is real. The Bengals are that team.
Lamar Jackson missed games, had his worst rushing season, and the Ravens still had a path to the playoffs on the final kick of the year. New OC Declan Doyle comes from the Ben Johnson coaching tree — which means more passing, more red zone throws, and Zay Flowers in what DJ describes as the Amon-Ra St. Brown role of this offense. Kyle Hamilton playing freely as a rover, not a traditional safety. A defensive line with Trey Hendrickson finally adding the pass rush that covered for old, slow corners in the back half of last season.
Then there are the Steelers, who stumbled ass-backwards into 10 wins and a division title with the lowest net point differential of any playoff team. Mike Tomlin is gone. Mike McCarthy is in. Aaron Rodgers is 43. Drew Allar is waiting. DJ and Kelcey cannot fully explain the Steelers and are done trying. They gave them 7-10 and 8-9 respectively and moved on.
Eight bets. Four teams. One wild division that ends every single year with more questions than it started with.
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The Detroit Lions had the best point differential in the entire NFC North last year — 68 points, more than the other three teams combined — and still finished last. That tells you everything you need to know about this division.
DJ and Kelcey continue their August preview series with the NFC North — every team picked game by game, eight prop bets powered by Outlier, and full season predictions. The Lions come in with Aiden Hutchinson returning, a proven offensive core, and an offensive coordinator who loves feeding his best receivers. DJ thinks last year was the anomaly. Kelcey agrees. Both have them winning the division at 12-5.
The Bears went worst to first on a heart attack diet — never won a game easily, never lost one they probably deserved to win either. DJ Moore is gone but Luther Burden steps in. Rome Odunze is healthy. Caleb Williams is entering year three. Kelcey has them second at 11-6. DJ has them second too. Their defense is the only question mark worth worrying about, and even that might be fine.
The Vikings are the most interesting conversation in the episode. Kyler Murray is now officially the starter with actual reps. Kevin O'Connell is 13-4 and 14-3 in the two seasons he's had a healthy quarterback for a full year. Justin Jefferson has cleared 1,100 yards in every healthy season of his career. Brian Flores builds defenses that play entirely different with a lead — and the Vikings haven't had many leads in recent years. DJ goes as far as saying he might put real money on them to win the NFC North. That is not nothing.
Then there are the Packers. Josh Jacobs on the commissioner's exempt list before the season even starts. Micah Parsons out to start the year. No Rashawn Gary. A receiver room that can't stay healthy. Jordan Love who's been the 7th seed in every playoff year of his career. Kelcey has them at 5-12, 0-6 in division. DJ is slightly kinder at 9-8. Both think they're walking uphill in ice skates while the other three teams roll boulders downhill at them.
Eight prop bets, four teams, and one division where all four teams have won it in the last five years.
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